Our prediction: Sevilla to win @ 2.02. Sevilla are sixth in La Liga but winless in three after facing Atlético, Barcelona and Real Madrid, and they return home to face an Osasuna side that has won only one of its last 11 away games. The Sevilla vs Osasuna clash kicks off at the Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán in Seville on Monday 26 October at 21:00 WAT (20:00 GMT).
Prediction table
| Market | Our pick | Odds (1xBet) | Confidence |
| Match result | Sevilla or draw | ~1.29 | 74% |
| Both teams to score | Yes | ~1.90 | 52% |
| Total goals | Over 1.5 goals | 1.40 | 74% |
| Correct score | 1-0 | ~7.00 | 13% |
| Best value bet / Matchplug Pick | Sevilla win | 2.02 | 49% |
Odds correct at time of writing, 26 October 2026. Prices marked ~ are estimates in line with the market, used where a live 1xBet price was not published.
Team news and form
Sevilla begin the weekend in sixth place after nine games, their best points tally at this stage since they finished fourth in 2021/22. That good work is being undone by a three-game winless run (D1, L2) that included defeats at home to Atlético Madrid (3-1) and Barcelona (3-1) and a 4-1 loss at Real Madrid. Luis García Plaza may welcome mid-table opposition, as his side are on a four-game winning streak at home against the rest of the league.
Osasuna came into their last match against Racing Santander on a five-game winless run (D1, L4), so the 2-0 win was very welcome and lifted them to tenth, three points behind Sevilla. Back-to-back league wins for only the third time this year would put them in the top-six mix, but their away record is the problem: one win in their last 11 on the road (D2, L8), and a further defeat would extend a losing run that has not been longer since August-October 2025 (L5).
Rubén Vargas has scored the opening goal in seven of his last eight goalscoring appearances for Sevilla, including the lone goal in this fixture last season. His namesake Rubén García has scored four of his last five goals for Osasuna before half-time, as did both of his goals against Sevilla. Miguel Sierra and Jon Guridi will again be absent for Sevilla, with Giorgi Kochorashvili in doubt. Romain Del Castillo is doubtful for Osasuna, who have already ruled out Jorge Herrando.
Head-to-head – Recent record
- Sevilla have won just one of the last ten meetings (D4, L5)
- Sevilla have lost only one of their last 17 home matches against Osasuna (W13, D3)
- Sevilla have kept ten clean sheets in those 17 home games
- Rubén Vargas scored the lone goal in this fixture last season
Overall the head-to-head is level to Osasuna’s favour, but at the Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán it is heavily one-sided towards Sevilla, and that is the record that matters here.
Why we’re backing it
The home record is the case. Sevilla have won four in a row at home against the sides outside the big three, lost only one of 17 home games against Osasuna and kept ten clean sheets in them. Osasuna have lost 15 of their 19 La Liga away games as the betting underdog (W3, D1), have scored first in only three of their last 12 matches, and Vargas tends to get Sevilla in front early.
The risks are real. Sevilla have won only one of their last nine Monday games (D4, L4), scored exactly one goal in six of their last seven matches and are missing Sierra and Guridi, so this could stay tight, and Rubén García scoring before half-time would put Osasuna back in it. That is why we prefer the outright win at 2.02 to a handicap, and Sevilla or draw as the cover.
Betting tips summary
- Safe pick: Sevilla or draw (double chance) @ ~1.29
- Value pick: Sevilla to win @ 2.02 <- *our recommended bet*
- Long shot: Sevilla to win 3-1 (correct score) @ 17.00
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sevilla vs Osasuna? Sevilla are our pick. They are slight favourites at 2.02 and have lost only one of 17 home games against Osasuna. Our model gives them a 49% win probability, with the draw around 26% and Osasuna 25%.
What is the correct score prediction for Sevilla vs Osasuna? 1-0 to Sevilla is our most likely single scoreline at 13% probability. Sevilla have scored exactly one goal in six of their last seven games.
What time does Sevilla vs Osasuna kick off? Monday 26 October 2026 at 21:00 WAT (20:00 GMT), at the Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán in Seville.
Will there be over 1.5 goals in Sevilla vs Osasuna? Yes is our pick at 74% confidence. Sevilla are at home against a side that has lost eight of its last 11 away games.
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