Germany’s last five matches all produced fewer than 2.5 goals, and they have scored only five goals in four Nations League games. Serbia, bottom of the group with no points, are the weakest side in it. The Serbia vs Germany Nations League match is at the Rajko Mitic Stadium in Belgrade on Friday 13 November, with kick-off listed at 19:45 GMT (20:45 WAT).
Prediction table
| Market | Our pick | Odds (1xBet) | Confidence |
| Match result | Germany win | 1.28 | 78% |
| Total goals | Under 3.5 goals | 1.77 | 70% |
| Both teams to score | No | 2.00 | 50% |
| Best value bet / Matchplug Pick | Under 3.5 goals | 1.77 | 70% |
1xBet odds as listed by betting sites on 13 November 2026.
Serbia’s life in League A has been even worse than last cycle, when only a relegation play-off win kept them up. They are bottom of the group after four rounds (lost all four) and have lost seven of their eight internationals in 2026, including the last six in a row. Their one win came at home, and their record in competitive games in Serbia is poor, with four defeats in their last five. Serbia have conceded two or more goals in six successive internationals. Dusan Vlahovic withdrew from the squad on Monday, and Sasa Lukic and Nemanja Maksimovic are reported suspended.
Germany’s first campaign under Jurgen Klopp has been a mixed bag (one win, two draws, one defeat), and they sit third in the group. A win keeps them in the race for the quarter-finals, while a defeat could leave them in the bottom two depending on the other result in the group. They have not lost a Nations League away game since November 2020 (two wins, seven draws). Their last five matches had under 2.5 goals, and their first four games in this campaign produced only five goals. Jamal Musiala is injured and Karim Adeyemi was left out of the squad. Derry Scherhant has had more shots (12) than any other German in this cycle.
Check the latest team news before kick-off.
Head-to-head – Recent meetings
- Germany 2-0 Serbia (earlier in this Nations League campaign)
Germany lead the overall head-to-head with two wins, one draw and one defeat. Serbia failed to score in the 2-0 reverse fixture.
Why we’re backing it
Germany have not been scoring freely, with fewer than 2.5 goals in each of their last five matches, and Serbia’s attack is thin without Vlahovic. Germany should control the game, and a win on a modest scoreline fits the numbers better than a heavy win. Under 3.5 goals gives room for a 2-0, 2-1 or 3-0.
The risk is that Serbia’s defence breaks down. They have conceded two or more goals in six straight games, Serbia scored 11 of their last 12 competitive goals in the opening hour, and Germany have conceded eight of their last nine Nations League goals after half-time, which keeps an open game possible. Aleksandar Mitrovic has also scored six of his last eight international goals after half-time. A big German win or a late flurry would put the pick at risk.
Betting tips summary
- Safe pick: Germany to win @ 1.28
- Value pick: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.77 <- our recommended bet
- Long shot: Germany to win to nil @ 2.30
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Serbia vs Germany? Germany are the clear favourites at 1.28 with 1xBet. Serbia have lost all four Nations League games and lost the reverse fixture 2-0.
What is the correct score prediction for Serbia vs Germany? Germany 2-0 is our most likely single scoreline, with Germany 2-1 the main alternative.
What time does Serbia vs Germany kick off? Friday 13 November 2026 at 19:45 GMT (20:45 WAT), at the Rajko Mitic Stadium in Belgrade.
Will there be under 3.5 goals in Serbia vs Germany? Yes is our pick at 1.77 with 70% confidence. Germany’s last five matches all had fewer than 2.5 goals.