Our prediction: Roma to win to nil @ 2.25. Unbeaten Roma host a Cagliari side that has lost its last two league games without scoring and has failed to score in each of its last four visits to Rome. The Roma vs Cagliari clash kicks off at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome on Tuesday 27 October at 20:45 WAT (19:45 GMT).
Prediction table
| Market | Our pick | Odds (1xBet) | Confidence |
| Match result | Roma win | 1.33 | 67% |
| Both teams to score | No | ~1.72 | 62% |
| Total goals | Over 1.5 goals | ~1.18 | 85% |
| Correct score | 2-0 | 7.00 | 14% |
| Best value bet / Matchplug Pick | Roma win to nil | 2.25 | 45% |
Odds correct at time of writing, 27 October 2026. Prices marked ~ are estimates in line with the market, used where a live 1xBet price was not published.
Team news and form
A dramatic late equaliser earned Roma a 3-3 draw at Napoli on Saturday, leaving them unbeaten after eight Serie A matches (W5, D3) for the first time since 2013/14. Gian Piero Gasperini’s side have been strong at home, winning three of four in the league (D1) and losing only once across all competitions in 11 home fixtures (W8, D2), and they have scored at least twice in each of the last eight of those games. They have also won six of their last seven Tuesday Serie A games (L1).
Cagliari have lost back-to-back league games for the first time since early April, going down 4-0 at Monza and then 2-0 at home to Bologna on Saturday. A defence that conceded only twice in the first five league games (W4, D1) has now conceded seven in three (D1, L2), which will worry manager Fabio Pisacane. They still have 13 points, more than at this stage of any of their last five top-flight seasons, helped by three away wins (L1), one short of the four they managed in the whole of 2025/26.
Donyell Malen has scored nine goals in ten games for Roma this season and Roma have won all seven league games in which he has scored. Cagliari’s Alessandro Deiola has lost to nil in each of his last five away head-to-heads. Roma’s Lorenzo Pellegrini faces a significant spell out, while Harry Winks came off injured in Cagliari’s defeat to Bologna.
Head-to-head – Previous meetings
- Roma have lost only two of the last 22 meetings (W15, D5)
- Roma have won nine of the last 11 home meetings (D2)
- Last season’s 1-0 defeat at Cagliari is one of those two losses
- Cagliari have failed to score in each of their last four visits to Roma
The history is one-sided at the Olimpico, and that record is the foundation of the clean-sheet angle.
Why we’re backing it
Roma’s defence is the main reason to look beyond the straight win. No team has conceded fewer corners than Roma (20) this season, they have conceded only one first-half league goal, and they have kept five clean sheets in eight league games. Cagliari have scored just six goals in eight games and are on a run of two defeats without scoring. Opta gives Roma a 67% chance of winning, and the win to nil pays 2.25, much better than the 1.33 on the win alone.
The risk is that Cagliari have faced at least five shots on target in each of their last four games, so they can create chances, and Roma were breached three times at Napoli on Saturday. Pellegrini’s absence also weakens Roma’s squad depth. Six of Cagliari’s eight league games went under 2.5 goals, so a narrow 1-0 or 2-0 is the most likely shape, which suits this pick.
Betting tips summary
- Safe pick: Roma to win @ 1.33
- Value pick: Roma to win to nil @ 2.25 <- *our recommended bet*
- Long shot: Roma to win 3-0 (correct score) @ ~9.50
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Roma vs Cagliari? Roma are our pick. They are unbeaten in eight league games, have lost only two of the last 22 meetings, and Opta gives them a 67% win probability.
What is the correct score prediction for Roma vs Cagliari? 2-0 to Roma is our most likely single scoreline at 14% probability, priced at 7.00.
What time does Roma vs Cagliari kick off? Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:45 WAT (19:45 GMT), at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome.
Will Roma keep a clean sheet against Cagliari? Yes is our pick at 62% confidence for Cagliari failing to score. Roma have kept five clean sheets in eight league games and Cagliari have failed to score in each of their last four visits to Rome.
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