Our prediction: Pistons -7.5 @ -105, and Under 215.5 @ -115. The Detroit Pistons host the Charlotte Hornets at Little Caesars Arena on Wednesday 28 October, 7 p.m. ET. Both teams are 3–1, but Detroit swept this series 3–0 last season and the last seven games between them in Detroit have all gone under the total.
The card
| Market | Our pick | Line | Confidence |
| Spread | Pistons -7.5 | -105 | 57% |
| Moneyline | Pistons | -282 | 70% |
| Total | Under 215.5 | -115 | 62% |
| Player prop | Cade Cunningham over [points line] | [odds] | 56% |
| Best bet | Under 215.5 | -115 | — |
Team news
Detroit (3–1) last played away at the New York Knicks and lost 111–97, and their four-game window includes one win in the home split. Jalen Duren (hamstring) and Isaiah Joe (hip) are listed as injured. Cade Cunningham is averaging 20.8 points, 5.8 rebounds and 8.0 assists in 33.5 minutes, Duncan Robinson 17.8 points, and Paul Reed 13.8 points and 8.5 rebounds. With Duren listed, Reed’s minutes matter.
Charlotte (3–1) most recently beat the Washington Wizards 110–103 at home, and their four-game window includes one win in the away split. Coby White (calf), Grant Williams (hamstring) and Kon Knueppel (hamstring) are all listed. Brandon Miller leads the team with 24.2 points per game, Naz Reid is averaging 19.5 points and 9.5 rebounds, and Moussa Diabate 9.2 points and 9.5 rebounds.
Head-to-head
Detroit led the series 3–0 last season, and the most recent meeting was a 118–100 Detroit win in Charlotte.
Why we’re on Detroit and the under
Seven and a half points is a fair number, but Detroit have the better answer to the injury lists. Charlotte are without three listed players, including two of their guards, while Detroit’s list is shorter. The Pistons also have a bounce-back spot after the 14-point loss in New York, and per Pick Dawgz they have covered in each of their last four night games against the Hornets after a road loss. The risk is the margin: Charlotte have covered seven of their last eight as underdogs against opponents on the second leg of a back-to-back, so we rate the spread a lean and the under our best bet.
The total of 215.5 is low, but the evidence points under. The last five regular-season meetings averaged only 207.2 combined points, and each of the last seven games at Little Caesars Arena between these teams has gone under. According to CappersPicks, Charlotte have not hit the over in any of their four games this season.
Cade Cunningham over [points line] is the supporting bet. He is averaging 20.8 points and 8.0 assists, and he runs the Detroit offence while Duren is listed.
Best bets summary
- Safe: Pistons moneyline @ -282 (heavy price; pair it in a parlay)
- Best bet: Under 215.5 @ -115
- Value: Pistons -7.5 @ -105
- Prop: Cade Cunningham over [points line] @ [odds]
- Long shot: Hornets moneyline @ +227
FAQ
Who is favoured in Pistons vs Hornets? Detroit are 7.5-point home favourites, and we’re laying the points with them.
What is the over/under for Pistons vs Hornets? The total is 215.5 at most books. The last five meetings averaged 207.2 combined points, and we recommend the under.
What time is Pistons vs Hornets? Wednesday 28 October, 7 p.m. ET at Little Caesars Arena, Detroit.
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Internal links used: 4, including the NBA money page. Lines (spread -7.5, total 215.5, moneyline Pistons -282 / Hornets +227) are from Pick Dawgz and CappersPicks; one other site, TheRx, lists -4.5 and 219.5, so recheck the market before publishing. The Cunningham prop line wasn’t found, the injury list and player stats are from your Flashscore notes, and the confidence figures are editorial estimates.