Wales have scored only twice in four Nations League games and failed to score in both of their away defeats in this campaign, while Norway are at home with Erling Haaland and a relegation fight to win. The Norway vs Wales Nations League clash is at the Ullevaal Stadion in Oslo on Saturday 14 November, with kick-off listed at 17:00 GMT (18:00 WAT).
Prediction table
| Market | Our pick | Odds (1xBet) | Confidence |
| Match result | Norway win | 1.25 | 80% |
| Draw | Draw | 6.00 | 17% |
| Wales win | Wales | 10.50 | 10% |
| Best value bet / Matchplug Pick | Norway to win | 1.25 | 80% |
1xBet odds as listed by betting sites on 12 November 2026;
Team news and form
Norway’s first League A campaign has been tough. They won their opener against Denmark, then lost three in a row, which is already their most defeats in a single Nations League cycle, and they are bottom of Group A4 with three points. Another defeat, with Denmark avoiding defeat in the other group game, would confirm them as last-place finishers. They still have a strong home record, though: their defeat to Portugal on matchday two was their first at home since March 2024 (11 wins, three draws). Norway’s four games have produced eight first-half goals, and eight of their last nine competitive games had over 8.5 corners. Norway look to have no new issues, with Haaland and Oscar Bobb in the attack.
Wales sit above Norway on points only because of their 2-1 win in the reverse fixture, a game in which Norway had a player sent off. That was followed by a 1-0 defeat to Denmark, their eighth in ten League A matches. They have won one of their last eight games (two draws, five defeats) and lost three away games in a row for the first time since 2022. They have scored only two goals in four group games and none in two away games. Harry Wilson returns from injury, his first game for Wales since March. Kieffer Moore, Jordan James and Dylan Lawlor are injured, and Sorba Thomas and Ben Cabango are suspended.
Check the latest team news before kick-off.
Head-to-head – Recent meetings
- Wales 2-1 Norway (1 October 2026, Nations League)
Wales have won the last three meetings, but have never won an away game in Norway (two draws, three defeats). Across the 12 meetings between the sides, Norway and Wales have four wins each and four draws.
Why we’re backing it
Norway are far stronger at home. They have scored six goals in four games to Wales’s two, and Wales have been poor on the road, failing to score in five of their last seven away defeats. Wales also have two players suspended and three injured, which leaves their defence short. One simulation model gives Norway 2.50 expected goals to Wales’s 0.81.
The risk is the price and the pressure. At 1.25 there is little margin, Norway have lost three in a row, and a lot rests on the result for both sides. Wales won the reverse fixture and have Wilson back, who has never lost when scoring in the Nations League. Norway to win to nil is the angle Flashscore suggests, but we have not found a 1xBet price for it.
Betting tips summary
- Safe pick: Norway to win @ 1.25 <- our recommended bet
- Value pick: Norway -1.5 Asian handicap @ 1.63
- Long shot: Norway 3-0 Wales (correct score) @ 8.00
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Norway vs Wales? Norway are the clear favourites at 1.25 with 1xBet. They are at home, and Wales have scored twice in four group games.
What is the correct score prediction for Norway vs Wales? Norway 2-0 is our most likely single scoreline, with Norway 2-1 the main alternative.
What time does Norway vs Wales kick off? Saturday 14 November 2026 at 17:00 GMT (18:00 WAT), at the Ullevaal Stadion in Oslo.
Will Norway keep a clean sheet against Wales? It is a realistic outcome. Wales failed to score in five of their last seven away defeats and in both of their away games in this campaign.