Our prediction: Newcastle to win and both teams to score @ 4.20. Newcastle and Everton meet for the second time in five days, with the hosts looking to bounce back from a 3-1 EFL Cup defeat at Goodison Park and Everton looking to avoid three straight Premier League defeats under David Moyes for the first time since October 2011. The Newcastle vs Everton clash kicks off at St James’ Park on Monday 2 November at 21:00 WAT (20:00 GMT).
Prediction table
| Market | Our pick | Odds (1xBet) | Confidence |
| Match result | Newcastle win | 2.35 | 41% |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 1.55 | 58% |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 56% |
| Correct score | 2-1 | 9.00 | 10% |
| Best value bet / Matchplug Pick | Newcastle win & both teams to score | 4.20 | 25% |
Odds correct at time of writing, 2 November 2026. Prices marked ~ are estimates in line with the market, used where a live 1xBet price was not published.
Team news and form
Newcastle’s EFL Cup exit at least lets them focus on the Premier League, where they start the round in the top eight after a 2-0 win at Crystal Palace last week. Matthias Jaissle had been under pressure after three defeats in four league games (W1), although the Magpies are still two points better off than at the same stage last season. A return to form at home is not guaranteed: they lost 1-0 to Aston Villa in their last home league game, and Newcastle have lost 21 of their last 32 Monday Premier League games (W7, D4), including both this season by 4-1.
Everton are a point behind their hosts after losing their last two league games, and could suffer three successive Premier League defeats under David Moyes for the first time since October 2011. Moyes was also dealt a blow in midweek when Jack Grealish was left out of the squad for disciplinary reasons. Everton have failed to win their last nine league games on the road (D5, L4) since winning this fixture last season, and have only had a longer such run under Moyes in the final 11 trips of 2003/04.
Jacob Murphy has scored in two of his last five league meetings with Everton and provided his 31st Premier League assist for Newcastle last week, which only two players have bettered for the club. Thierno Barry scored and assisted in the cup tie, and four of his last five goals for Everton have come between the 55th and 70th minutes. Lewis Miley and Matias Fernandez-Pardo have missed Newcastle’s last two games. It is unclear whether Everton will recall Grealish, while Jarrad Branthwaite has missed their last two matches with concussion.
Head-to-head – Recent meetings
- Everton 3-1 Newcastle (29 October 2026, EFL Cup)
- Newcastle 2-3 Everton (28 February 2026, Premier League)
- Everton 1-4 Newcastle (29 November 2025, Premier League)
- Newcastle 0-1 Everton (25 May 2025, Premier League)
Newcastle have won only one of the last six Premier League meetings (D2, L3). Everton have won their last two league visits to St James’ Park but have never won three in a row there.
Why we’re backing it
It is hard to back Everton away from home, which is why we like Newcastle to win with both teams scoring. Newcastle have had a league-high 138 shots this season, and only two of their eight league games were goalless at half-time. Everton have won only one of their last 21 Premier League games after going 1-0 down (D7, L13) and are winless in nine on the road. Both teams scored in each of the last three meetings, and both teams have scored in three of Newcastle’s four home league games, so Everton should find a goal, with Barry a threat in the second hour.
The risks are clear. Newcastle have lost both Monday games this season 4-1, lost the cup tie on Thursday, and failed to score in their last home league game against Villa. A 1-1 draw is the single likeliest scoreline in some models. This is a longer-priced selection with a rating of only 25%, so for lower risk, both teams to score at 1.55 is the safer route to the same story.
Betting tips summary
- Safe pick: Both teams to score – Yes @ 1.55
- Value pick: Newcastle to win & both teams to score @ 4.20 <- *our recommended bet*
- Long shot: Newcastle to win 2-1 (correct score) @ ~9.00
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Newcastle vs Everton? Newcastle are slight favourites at 2.35, with Everton around 2.90 and the draw about 3.50. Our model gives Newcastle a 41% win probability, and we expect both sides to score.
What is the correct score prediction for Newcastle vs Everton? 2-1 to Newcastle is our pick at 10% probability, with 1-1 and 2-2 also likely.
What time does Newcastle vs Everton kick off? Monday 2 November 2026 at 21:00 WAT (20:00 GMT), at St James’ Park in Newcastle.
Will both teams score in Newcastle vs Everton? Yes is our pick at 58% confidence. Both teams scored in each of the last three meetings and in three of Newcastle’s four home league games this season.
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