Our prediction: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.91. Leeds have scored one goal or fewer in eight of their nine league games and seven of their nine have finished under 2.5 goals, while Tottenham score most of their goals after half-time. The Leeds vs Tottenham clash kicks off at Elland Road in Leeds on Saturday 7 November at 12:30 GMT (13:30 WAT).
Prediction table
| Market | Our pick | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total goals | Under 2.5 goals | 1.91 | 55% |
| Both teams to score | No | 2.15 | 47% |
| Match result | Tottenham win | 2.70 | 37% |
| Best value bet / Matchplug Pick | Under 2.5 goals | 1.91 | 55% |
Under 2.5 goals (1.91), both teams to score No (2.15) and Tottenham win (2.70) are prices as listed by Football Whispers on 7 November 2026. Leeds were around 2.75 to win and the draw about 3.50 at Betfred. Confidence: the implied probability of the price for both teams to score No and the match result, and our estimate for under 2.5 based on Leeds’ recent record. Re-check prices on 1xBet before publishing.
Team news and form
Leeds are on a five-game winless run (D3, L2) after a 2-0 defeat at Bournemouth last weekend. They started the round four points off fifth place and the same distance from 17th. They have failed to beat Manchester United (1-1) or Crystal Palace (0-0) in their last two home games, and a third home game without a win would increase the pressure on Daniel Farke. Farke has reached an agreement in principle on a contract extension until 2029 but is yet to sign it. Leeds have scored one goal or fewer in eight of nine league games, and have scored only twice in their last five.
Tottenham started the Premier League season with six winless games (D3, L3) but Roberto de Zerbi has turned things around in October. Wins over Coventry (3-1), Chelsea (2-0) and Crystal Palace (2-0) mean they are chasing four consecutive league wins for the first time since early 2023/24. They are unbeaten in three away league games (W1, D2). Three-quarters of the Premier League goals Spurs have scored or conceded this season have come after half-time, and seven of their eight wins or losses in all competitions were by two goals or more. Mathys Tel scored in the win at Chelsea and has scored six of his eight Spurs goals after half-time.
Noah Okafor is a doubt for Leeds after missing the last match with a groin problem, and one preview reports Dominic Calvert-Lewin missed training. Tottenham will assess Lucas Bergvall and Tosin Adarabioyo closer to matchday. Check the latest team news before kick-off.
Head-to-head
Tottenham have won ten of the last 13 Premier League meetings (D2, L1) and scored in each of the last 16. They have won four of their last five league visits to Elland Road (L1). Calvert-Lewin has scored or assisted in three of his last five appearances against Tottenham, and Leeds picked up points in all three (W1, D2).
Why we’re backing it
The case for under 2.5 goals rests on Leeds’ scoring record and the way both teams play. Leeds have scored one goal or fewer in eight of nine league games, and seven of their nine have finished under 2.5 goals. Both teams have conceded only five goals in their last five matches, and Spurs are more likely to score late than early, so we expect a cagey first half. With neither side scoring early, a 0-0 half-time draw is also worth considering.
The risk is that Tottenham’s attack is improving. They have taken 77 shots to Leeds’ 44 over the last five games, and have scored in each of the last 16 meetings with Leeds. Seven of their eight wins or losses this season were by two goals or more, so one early goal could open up the game. Both teams to score No at 2.15 is a related angle, but the Tottenham win at 2.70 is a value option for those who want a side.
Betting tips summary
- Safe pick: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.91 <- our recommended bet
- Value pick: Both teams to score No @ 2.15
- Result pick: Tottenham to win @ 2.70
- Long shot: Draw @ 3.50
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Leeds vs Tottenham? Tottenham are slight favourites given their three straight wins, but Leeds have been hard to beat at home. Our main bet is under 2.5 goals.
What time does Leeds vs Tottenham kick off? Saturday 7 November 2026 at 12:30 GMT (13:30 WAT), at Elland Road in Leeds.
Will there be under 2.5 goals in Leeds vs Tottenham? Under is our pick at 1.91. Seven of Leeds’ nine league games this season have finished under 2.5 goals.
Who is injured for Leeds vs Tottenham? Noah Okafor is a doubt for Leeds, and Lucas Bergvall and Tosin Adarabioyo will be assessed for Tottenham.
How has Tottenham done against Leeds? Tottenham have won ten of the last 13 Premier League meetings, including four of their last five visits to Elland Road.
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