Our prediction: both teams to score @ 1.59. France have been scoring freely, and Italy have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last seven Nations League matches. The Italy vs France Nations League Group A1 match is at the San Siro in Milan on Thursday 12 November, with kick-off listed at 19:45 GMT (20:45 WAT).
Prediction table
| Market | Our pick | Odds | Confidence |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 1.59 | 85% |
| Best value bet / Matchplug Pick | Both teams to score | 1.59 | 85% |
Odds correct at time of writing, 12 November 2026.
Team news and form
Italy have been competitive in recent international matches, winning four of their last six games, the latest a 3-1 win over Turkey on 5 October. They will be hoping to make home advantage count against a dangerous French side. Their defence is the concern, with no clean sheet in their last seven Nations League matches.
France have enjoyed an impressive attacking campaign. They recently beat Belgium 4-1, taking their total goals scored across competitions in 2026 to 36. Kylian Mbappe and Michael Olise give them significant attacking quality.
Both nations are looking to strengthen their positions in Group A1. We have not found confirmed injury or suspension news, so check the latest team news before kick-off.
Head-to-head – Recent meetings
- Italy 1-3 France (Nov 2024, Nations League)
- France 1-3 Italy (Sep 2024, Nations League)
- France 3-1 Italy (Jun 2018, friendly)
- France 0-2 Italy (Jun 2008, Euro)
Both teams scored in both 2024 meetings, and each game produced four goals. We could not confirm the result of the first meeting this season in Saint-Denis on 2 October, so add it here.
Why we’re backing it
France’s attacking quality makes a goal against Italy very likely, given Italy’s run without a clean sheet. Italy have also shown they can score, with a 3-1 win over Turkey and a 3-1 win over France in September 2024, so both teams have a realistic chance of finding the net.
The risk is a cagey game between two sides with a lot to lose in the group, or a strong Italian defensive display at home. At 1.59 the price reflects that BTTS is the most likely outcome rather than a certainty.
Betting tips summary
- Main pick: Both teams to score @ 1.59 <- our recommended bet
Frequently asked questions
Will both teams score in Italy vs France? Yes is our pick at 1.59. France are in strong attacking form and Italy have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last seven Nations League games.
What time does Italy vs France kick off? Thursday 12 November 2026, listed at 19:45 GMT (20:45 WAT), at the San Siro in Milan.
How have Italy and France done in recent meetings? Both teams scored in both 2024 Nations League meetings, with Italy winning 3-1 in September and France winning 3-1 in November.
What is France’s recent form? They beat Belgium 4-1 and have scored 36 goals across competitions in 2026.
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