Our prediction: Hull or draw (double chance) @ 1.82. Hull’s return to the Premier League has started well, and they host unbeaten Everton hoping the international break has not slowed their momentum. The Hull City vs Everton clash kicks off at the MKM Stadium in Hull on Sunday 11 October at 14:00 WAT (14:00 BST).
Prediction table
|
Market |
Our pick |
Odds (1xBet) |
Confidence |
|
Match result |
Hull or draw |
1.82 |
55% |
|
Both teams to score |
Yes |
1.79 |
56% |
|
Total goals |
Under 2.5 goals |
1.80 |
58% |
|
Correct score |
1-1 |
6.50 |
15% |
|
Best value bet / MatchplugPick |
Hull/Draw double chance |
1.82 |
55% |
Odds correct at time of writing, 8 October 2026.
Team news and form
Hull conceded twice in the opening ten minutes of a 2-1 defeat at Newcastle, their first league loss of the season (W2, D2). They are winless in their last three league games (D2, L1), which fits expectations for a first top-flight campaign in a decade. Home form is their strength, as they are the only Premier League side yet to concede a goal at home this term. A clean sheet in each of their first three home games would make them only the third newly promoted side to do that in a Premier League season, and the previous two survived.
Everton are one of five unbeaten sides in the Premier League (W2, D3), and belief is building on Merseyside that European qualification is realistic. Only twice before have Everton gone unbeaten in their first six games of a Premier League campaign, and both seasons ended in a top-six finish. The trip may be badly timed. Everton are winless in their last seven away league games (D4, L3) and have won only two of their last 15 top-flight away games against promoted sides (D8, L5).
Mohamed-Ali Cho scored against Newcastle and hopes to earn a start, but he has been on the losing side in four of his last five scoring appearances (W1). Everton’s Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall has attempted a team-high 15 Premier League shots this season, and the only one to score was his sole first-half goal in his last seven at club level. Hull hope to have Charlie Hughes back soon but remain without several first-team players. Everton’s Vitalii Mykolenko picked up a knock on international duty and could miss out.
Head-to-head – Last Five Meetings
Hull have won two of the ten previous Premier League meetings (D3, L5), but their home record in the fixture is much better (W2, D2, L1).
Why we’re backing it
Hull are the only side yet to concede a Premier League goal at home, while Everton have won none of their last seven away league games and only two of their last 15 away games against promoted sides. Four of Everton’s last seven away games ended in draws.
Everton are also hard to beat in a low-scoring game. They have kept five clean sheets in their last seven games and have committed a league-low 40 fouls. That points to a tight match, where the double chance covers a Hull win and a draw.
Betting tips summary
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Hull vs Everton? We expect Hull not to lose. They are the only side yet to concede at home in the league, and Everton have won none of their last seven away league games. Our model gives Hull or draw a 55% probability.
What is the correct score prediction for Hull City vs Everton? 1-1 is our most likely single scoreline at 15% probability.
What time does Hull City vs Everton kick off? Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 WAT (14:00 BST), at the MKM Stadium in Hull.
Will Hull avoid defeat? Yes is our pick at 55% confidence. Everton have won only two of their last 15 away games against promoted sides.
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