Our prediction: Fulham to win @ 2.16. Fulham have lost just one of their last six league games and have won three of the last four meetings with Newcastle, while Newcastle have lost four of their last five and are yet to score before half-time on the road. The Fulham vs Newcastle clash kicks off at Craven Cottage in London on Saturday 7 November at 15:00 GMT (16:00 WAT).
Prediction table
| Market | Our pick | Odds | Confidence |
| Match result | Fulham win | 2.16 | 46% |
| Double chance | Fulham or draw | 1.30 | 70% |
| Total goals | Under 2.5 goals | 2.32 | 43% |
| Best value bet / Matchplug Pick | Fulham win | 2.16 | 46% |
Fulham win (2.16), Newcastle (3.39) and under 2.5 goals (2.32) are 22bet prices as listed on 7 November 2026, with the draw at 3.88. Fulham or draw (3/10 at Ladbrokes) is 1.30 in decimal. Confidence: the Dimers model for the match result and double chance, and the model’s over 2.5 probability for the goals market. Re-check prices on 1xBet before publishing.
Team news and form
Fulham lost their first three Premier League games but have lost just one of the last six (W2, D3), most recently drawing 1-1 with Aston Villa. The pressure on Alvaro Arbeloa is lifting after a rocky start, and they are a point better off than at the same stage last season. Just one of their last 17 home matches ended level (W9, L7). They scored first in three of their four home league games but won only one of them (D1, L1), and seven of their nine league games produced fewer than 1.5 first-half goals. Oscar Bobb has had 50 touches in the opposition box, more than all but three players, and his last five goals for club or country came in the first or final 15 minutes. Fulham have no fresh injury issues.
Newcastle have lost four of their last five (W1), including successive defeats to Everton in the league and cup. Matthias Jaissle’s side were booed off after Monday’s 1-0 loss, and he accused his players of not following his instructions. They are looking for successive away league wins for the first time since April 2025, and each of their last four away league wins came in London, including 2-0 wins on both of their trips this season. They have not scored before half-time on the road in the league this season, and only Hull (25) have received more yellow cards than Newcastle (24). Harvey Barnes has scored three times in his last four Premier League visits to Craven Cottage, and six of his last eight league goals came after half-time. Jacob Ramsey is suspended. Check the latest team news before kick-off.
Head-to-head – Recent meetings
- Fulham 2-0 Newcastle (last season, Premier League)
Fulham were winless in eight Premier League meetings with Newcastle (D2, L6) before winning three of the last four (L1), including the last two at Craven Cottage by two goals.
Why we’re backing it
The case for Fulham rests on form and venue. Fulham have taken seven points from their last four games and have beaten Newcastle in three of their last four meetings, including the last two at home. Newcastle have lost four of five, and a team that has not scored before half-time on the road this season will find it hard to build a lead. Fulham’s improved defence and the home crowd should also help, and the Flashscore analysis suggests Fulham to win both halves is an angle worth looking at if you can find a price.
The risk is that Fulham have been slow to turn leads into wins at home, and Newcastle’s recent away wins in London show they can still produce results on the road. Newcastle have also won 14 of the last 28 meetings overall. For a safer angle, Fulham or draw at 1.30 is available, and under 2.5 goals at 2.32 suits a game in which both sides have been short of goals.
Betting tips summary
- Safe pick: Fulham or draw @ 1.30
- Value pick: Fulham to win @ 2.16 <- our recommended bet
- Goals pick: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.32
- Long shot: Newcastle to win @ 3.39
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Fulham vs Newcastle? We lean towards Fulham given their improving form and their record against Newcastle at Craven Cottage. Our main bet is Fulham to win.
What time does Fulham vs Newcastle kick off? Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:00 GMT (16:00 WAT), at Craven Cottage in London.
Will there be under 2.5 goals in Fulham vs Newcastle? Under is a secondary option at 2.32. Seven of Fulham’s nine league games produced fewer than 1.5 first-half goals.
Who is injured or suspended for Fulham vs Newcastle? Jacob Ramsey is suspended for Newcastle, and Fulham have no fresh issues.
When did Fulham last beat Newcastle? Fulham won 2-0 in the last meeting at Craven Cottage, and have won three of the last four Premier League meetings.
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