Three football picks across the UEFA Nations League, Spain’s Segunda Division and the French Cup. Two of the three landed: over 2.5 goals in Serbia vs Germany and both teams to score in Leganes vs Burgos, while Dijon FCO failed to beat Orleans. Our headline bet of the day was Serbia vs Germany, over 2.5 goals @ 1.52. Kick-off times are in WAT.
The full reasoning for each pick is below, with the odds and confidence rating we published.
| Date | Match | Competition | Our pick | Odds | Conf. | Results |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2026 | Serbia vs Germany | UEFA Nations League | Over 2.5 goals | 1.52 | 85% | Won ✅ |
| 13 Nov 2026 | Leganes vs Burgos | Spain | Both teams to score | 1.85 | 80% | Won ✅ |
| 13 Nov 2026 | Dijon FCO vs Orleans | France | Dijon FCO to win | 1.58 | 85% | Lost ❌ |
Odds as published on 13 November 2026.
Picks of the day
Serbia vs Germany, over 2.5 goals @ 1.52 (85%). Result: won ✅
UEFA Nations League, Group A2, Rajko Mitic Stadium, Belgrade, kick-off 20:45 WAT. Serbia went into the game bottom of the group with no points, having lost all four games and conceded two or more goals in six internationals in a row. They had not kept a clean sheet in 13 matches and were without the suspended Sasa Lukic and Nemanja Maksimovic, so a weakened defence was always likely to concede.
Germany had struggled for goals under Klopp, scoring five in four group games, but they needed a win to stay in the race for the quarter-finals and beat Serbia 2-0 in the reverse fixture on 1 October. The pick needed three goals and it landed.
Leganes vs Burgos, both teams to score @ 1.85 (80%). Result: won ✅
Segunda Division, Estadio Butarque, kick-off 20:30 WAT. Leganes came in 17th with 12 points, a poor recent run and 23 goals conceded in 13 games, so Burgos were likely to find the net. Burgos were third with 24 points and had won five of their last six, with 19 goals scored, and had won the last two meetings (2-1 in January 2026 and 2-1 at Leganes in November 2025).
The risk was Leganes failing to score, as they had netted only 11 goals all season. The price of 1.85 reflected that, but Leganes had still scored in their recent home draw with Mallorca and win over Granada, and the pick landed.
Dijon FCO vs Orleans, Dijon FCO to win @ 1.58 (85%). Result: lost ❌
French Cup, kick-off 20:00 WAT. Dijon came in with the better record, having won three of their last five (W-W-L-L-W) and scored 1.75 goals a game, while Orleans had drawn four of their last five and scored only two goals in that run. Dijon were also unbeaten in their last six meetings with Orleans (four wins and two draws), including a 3-2 win in May 2026.
The risk with a cup tie at this price is that one goal or a draw ends the pick, and that is what happened: the match did not end with a Dijon win, so the leg lost.
Accumulator of the day
Serbia vs Germany over 2.5 goals + Leganes vs Burgos BTTS + Dijon FCO to win -> combined odds 4.44. The accumulator lost because the Dijon FCO leg failed. Two of the three legs won. A $1,000 stake would have returned $4,440 had all three landed.
Stake responsibly. These are our picks, not guarantees — see our full results record.