Five games, five picks. Our headline bet today is Netherlands vs Serbia over 2.5 goals @ 1.36, our highest-rated pick at 95%. All times WAT.
|
Time |
Match |
Competition |
Our pick |
Odds |
Conf. |
|
Sun 14:30 |
Commanders vs Colts |
NFL |
Commanders over 19.5 (team total) |
1.83 |
90% |
|
Sun 18:00 |
Cardinals vs Giants |
NFL |
D. Mooney over 1.5 receptions |
1.91 |
85% |
|
Sun 19:45 |
Portugal vs Norway |
UEFA Nations League |
Over 8.5 corners |
1.58 |
85% |
|
Sun 19:45 |
Netherlands vs Serbia |
UEFA Nations League |
Over 2.5 goals |
1.36 |
95% |
|
Sun 19:45 |
Greece vs Germany |
UEFA Nations League |
Over 8.5 corners |
1.62 |
85% |
Odds correct at time of writing, 4th October 2026.
Picks of the day
Netherlands vs Serbia, over 2.5 goals @ 1.36. Serbia have lost all three of their Nations League games and sit bottom of the group, and they have conceded in each of their last five away matches. The Netherlands are yet to keep a clean sheet in 2026, and they need a win in Eindhoven after winning the reverse fixture 2-1 in Belgrade. Gakpo is out injured, but the hosts still have the attack to score twice. Full reasoning in our Netherlands vs Serbia preview.
Commanders vs Colts, Commanders over 19.5 team total @ 1.83. Washington scored 33 points in a 33-31 win over Seattle last week, and Marcus Mariota threw three touchdowns without an interception. He has four touchdown passes and no interceptions across his two appearances, and he starts again with Jayden Daniels out injured. The Commanders only need 20 points in London. The risk is a Colts game plan built around Jonathan Taylor, who has 66 carries through three games, which could shorten Washington’s possessions.
Cardinals vs Giants, D. Mooney over 1.5 receptions @ 1.91. Darnell Mooney is the Giants’ veteran receiver alongside Malik Nabers, and he had four catches for 75 yards through his first two games. The line needs only two catches. New York are without Jaxson Dart for the season, so the passing game runs through Jameis Winston, and Arizona are 2.5-point road favourites, which can push the Giants into passing situations.
Portugal vs Norway, over 8.5 corners @ 1.58. Portugal’s last 10 home games averaged 6.50 corners won and 3.70 conceded, which adds up to 10.2 per game, and they are averaging 6.3 corners per game in this season’s Nations League. Norway add 4.7 per game, so the combined figure is above the line. Portugal won the first meeting 2-1 in Oslo, where Norway had 22 shots, so another open game is likely, and Norway are without the suspended Torbjorn Heggem and the injured Julian Ryerson.
Greece vs Germany, over 8.5 corners @ 1.62. Greece’s last five home games averaged 12.60 corners, and the 9.5 corner line has been covered in each of Germany’s past four matches. Greece are expected to defend compactly after their 1-0 win in Augsburg, which leaves Germany pushing forward against a low block, and that usually means a lot of corners. Full reasoning in our Greece vs Germany preview.
Accumulator of the day
Commanders over 19.5 + D. Mooney over 1.5 receptions + Portugal over 8.5 corners + Netherlands over 2.5 goals + Greece vs Germany over 8.5 corners -> combined odds 12.17. A $1,000 stake returns $12,170.
Stake responsibly. These are our picks, not guarantees. See our full results record.
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