Our prediction: over 3.5 goals @ 2.25. Feyenoord were beaten 5-1 at Barcelona on UCL matchday one, while Como opened with a 4-1 win over Leipzig. Both sides leak goals and both are in decent attacking form, which points to an open game. The Feyenoord vs Como clash kicks off at De Kuip in Rotterdam on Wednesday 14 October at 17:45 WAT (17:45 BST).
Prediction table
|
Market |
Our pick |
Odds |
Confidence |
|
Match result |
Como win |
1.85 |
50% |
|
Both teams to score |
Yes |
1.60 |
62% |
|
Total goals |
Over 2.5 goals |
1.45 |
68% |
|
Correct score |
1-2 |
11.00 |
8% |
|
Best value bet / Matchplug Pick |
Over 3.5 goals |
2.25 |
50% |
Odds correct at time of writing, 13 October 2026.
Team news and form
Feyenoord beat AZ Alkmaar 2-0 last weekend for a third straight league win, which took them to the top of the Eredivisie. All three wins were clean sheets for Giovanni van Bronckhorst’s side, a sharp contrast to the 5-1 loss at Barcelona. European form remains a worry, with just three wins in their last 13 UEFA matches (D1, L9). De Kuip is a better setting: they have won four of their last five home UCL games (L1), including back-to-back league phase wins in 2024/25.
Como drew 0-0 with Roma on Sunday despite playing almost a full half with an extra man, leaving them goalless in two games (D1, L1). That run interrupted the momentum Cesc Fà bregas’ side built over four earlier wins, in which they scored 12 goals, including the 4-1 win over Leipzig. Their away record this season is mixed (W2, D1, L1). A second win would put them within reach of becoming only the third Italian team to win their first two European Cup/UCL games.
Nacho Ferri could make an early mark for Feyenoord: four of his last five goals, all in his last three games, came inside the first 30 minutes of a Feyenoord win. Nico Paz had a strong international break with four goals (G3, A1) in three games for Argentina and has four contributions in his last five club games (G1, A3), including two assists on matchday one. Feyenoord have a long absence list but are cautiously optimistic about Tsuyoshi Watanabe. Como may be without Moise Kean, who was injured on international duty.
Head-to-head – Last 5 meetings
This is Como’s first competitive meeting with a Dutch side, so there is no head-to-head record to use. Feyenoord have won only one of their last seven matches against Italian clubs (D3, L3), but they are far stronger at home against Italian opposition (W5, D2, L1).
Why we’re backing it
The goals trend is the main argument. Seven of Feyenoord’s last eight matches produced more than 3.5 goals, and Como have conceded five of their seven goals this season after half-time, which suggests their defence tires. Ten of Como’s last 15 away competitive matches also saw both teams score.
The risk is a cagey start. Feyenoord have kept three straight league clean sheets, Como have scored in neither of their last two games, and the over 3.5 line needs four goals. There has not been a goalless draw in Feyenoord’s last 42 UEFA games, though, so goals are the likelier outcome.
Betting tips summary
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Feyenoord vs Como? Como edge it in our model, with a 50% win probability. Feyenoord’s home record gives them a real chance, but their defensive problems in Europe are hard to ignore.
What is the correct score prediction for Feyenoord vs Como? 1-2 is our most likely single scoreline at 8%probability.
What time does Feyenoord vs Como kick off?Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 17:45 WAT (17:45 BST), at De Kuip in Rotterdam.
Will there be over 3.5 goals in Feyenoord vs Como? Yes is our pick at 50% confidence. Seven of Feyenoord’s last eight matches have gone over that line.
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