Our prediction: Manchester United or draw (double chance) @ 1.62. Como have lost just one home game in any competition since February, but this is their first meeting with English opposition and their second-ever Champions League home game. United are in poor form, yet they are unbeaten in their last six Champions League away games against Italian clubs. The Como vs Manchester United clash kicks off at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia in Como on Wednesday 21 October at 17:45 WAT (17:45 BST).
Prediction table
| Market | Our pick | Odds (1xBet) | Confidence |
| Match result | Como win | 2.39 | 41% |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 1.50 | 62% |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 goals | 1.69 | 58% |
| Correct score | 1-1 | 7.50 | 12% |
| Best value bet / Matchplug Pick | Manchester United or draw (double chance) | 1.62 | 59% |
Odds correct at time of writing, 21 October 2026. Prices marked ~ come from other bookmakers or odds-comparison sites, used where a live 1xBet price was not published.
Team news and form
Como beat Fiorentina 3-1 at the weekend to end a three-match winless run (D1, L2) that included a 3-2 defeat to Feyenoord on Champions League matchday two. They return to the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, where they beat Leipzig 4-1 on their European debut last month, and could become the first Italian club since Lazio in 1999/00 to win their first two Champions League home games. Cesc FĂ bregas faced United 24 times as a player, and his side have lost only one home game in any competition since February (W6, D3). Como have also won the corner count in 14 of their last 16 competitive home games.
Manchester United’s season has been miserable, and a 1-1 draw with Leeds on Sunday, in which they gave up the lead, left them with two wins this term (D4, L4) and no victory in six straight games for the first time since 2019. Michael Carrick is under pressure after last week’s 2-0 Champions League defeat to Atlético Madrid, their sixth loss in nine games in the competition (W1, D2). They have won just one of their last ten Champions League away games (D3, L6) and have yet to win on the road in any competition this season (D3, L2). Their last eight Champions League games have averaged 4.13 goals, and they conceded two or more in eight of their last ten away.
Anastasios Douvikas has scored in both of Como’s Champions League games this season, and each of his last seven goals for the club came after the half-hour mark. Matheus Cunha has opened the scoring in three of his last five goals for United, including on matchday one. Trevoh Chalobah was substituted early against Fiorentina and Assane Diao missed that game through injury. United are without Luke Shaw, Kobbie Mainoo, Lisandro MartĂnez and Marcus Rashford through injury, and Leny Yoro is suspended.
Head-to-head – Previous meetings
- This is Como’s first game against English opposition
- Como won their only previous Champions League home game 4-1 against Leipzig
- United are unbeaten in their last six Champions League away games against Italian clubs (W3, D3), going back to 2007
With no history between the sides, we lean on current form, where Como’s home record is strong but United have a good record in Italy and a high-scoring European run.
Why we’re backing it
The double chance is built on Como’s inexperience at this level and United’s habit of staying in European games. This is the biggest match in Como’s history, they have played only two Champions League games, and they lost one of them, 3-2 to Feyenoord. United’s last eight Champions League matches averaged 4.13 goals, they conceded in most of their recent away games, and Cunha has been scoring first, so they are rarely out of a game. Their six-game unbeaten run in Italy (W3, D3) also gives the draw real weight.
The risk is Como’s home form. They have lost one home game since February, and they win the corner count in nearly every home match. United have not won away in any competition this season and have won once in their last ten Champions League away games. If Como win, the bet loses, which happens around 41% of the time on 1xBet’s prices. If you prefer a goals angle, over 2.5 at 1.69 is the other route, given United have conceded two or more in eight of their last ten away Champions League games.
Betting tips summary
- Safe pick: Over 1.5 goals @ ~1.25
- Value pick: Manchester United or draw (double chance) @ ~1.62 <- our recommended bet
- Long shot: 1-1 draw (correct score) @ ~7.50
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Como vs Manchester United? Como are favourites at home, but it is closer than the form suggests. 1xBet’s prices of 2.39 for Como, 3.86 for the draw and 2.97 for United imply roughly 41%, 26% and 33% once the margin is removed. We back United or the draw, which covers about 59% of outcomes.
What is the correct score prediction for Como vs Manchester United? 1-1 is our pick at 12% probability, the shortest-priced scoreline in the market.
What time does Como vs Manchester United kick off? Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 17:45 WAT (17:45 BST), at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia in Como.
Will Manchester United avoid defeat against Como? Yes is our pick at 59% confidence. United are unbeaten in their last six Champions League away games against Italian clubs, and Como have never faced English opposition.