Chelsea are shaky at the back, with a league-high eight set-piece goals conceded, while Manchester United have scored in every away league game since the opening day of the season. The Chelsea vs Man United clash kicks off at Stamford Bridge in London on Saturday 31 October at 12:30 GMT (13:30 WAT), with Peter Bankes as referee.
Prediction table
| Market | Our pick | Odds (1xBet) | Confidence |
| Match result | Chelsea win | 1.80 | 52% |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 1.55 | 64% |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 53% |
| Best value bet / Matchplug Pick | Both teams to score – Yes | 1.55 | 64% |
1xBet odds as listed by TelecomAsia on 30 October 2026 (Man United win 4.10, draw 3.95, BTTS No 2.40, Under 2.5 goals 2.25). Confidence figures are Sportytrader model probabilities. Prices can move before kick-off, so re-check on 1xBet before publishing.
Team news and form
Chelsea missed the chance to return to the top four when Tottenham beat them 2-0 at Stamford Bridge, and Xabi Alonso’s side have won just two of their last six league games (D1, L3). Their 13 points is one of the lowest hauls at this stage since 2015/16, and they have not lost back-to-back home league games since a run of four that ended in May. They were also knocked out of the Carabao Cup by Liverpool on penalties in midweek. The numbers at the back are poor: eight set-piece goals conceded, the most in the league, and a joint league-high ten goals after half-time.
Manchester United are in chaos. A 3-0 home defeat to Bournemouth looked to have ended Michael Carrick’s time in charge, but the board kept him in post for this trip. United are winless in eight in all competitions (D3, L5), have won only one league game all season (back in August), and sit just a point above the relegation zone. They are yet to win away from home (D3, L3), but have lost only one of their last eight league trips to London (W3, D4). They are also one of two sides yet to win a league game after scoring first.
Chelsea are without João Pedro through injury, and Maxence Lacroix is doubtful. Cole Palmer is expected back after suspension. United have doubts over Kobbie Mainoo, Luke Shaw and Marcus Rashford, while Bruno Fernandes is reported to start after clear-the-air talks with Carrick. Check the latest team news before kick-off.
Head-to-head – Recent meetings
- Chelsea 0-1 Man United (18 April 2026, Premier League)
- Man United 2-1 Chelsea (20 September 2025, Premier League)
- Chelsea 1-0 Man United (16 May 2025, Premier League)
United have won the last two meetings, and a win here would give them back-to-back Premier League away wins at Chelsea for only the second time, and the first since 1995. Morgan Rogers has scored four Chelsea goals, all before half-time and three inside the first ten minutes, while Matheus Cunha has scored five goals against Chelsea, more than against any other opponent.
Why we’re backing it
The case for both teams to score rests on defences, not attackers. Chelsea have leaked set-piece and late goals all season, and United have failed to keep a clean sheet in the league and have scored in every away league game since the opening day. Chelsea have also scored 19 home goals in six matches in all competitions, so goals at both ends look likely, even with João Pedro missing.
The risk is that United’s form is dreadful. Backing them to win seems a stretch, and a Chelsea win to nil is entirely possible if the visitors’ confidence collapses again. That is why Chelsea not to lose at 1.25 is our safer angle.
Betting tips summary
- Safe pick: Chelsea not to lose (double chance) @ 1.25
- Value pick: Both teams to score – Yes @ 1.55 <- our recommended bet
- Goals pick: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.60
- Long shot: Morgan Rogers anytime goalscorer (odds TBC)
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Chelsea vs Man United? We lean towards a narrow Chelsea win, but United’s record at Stamford Bridge (two straight wins) and Chelsea’s defensive problems make this closer than the form suggests. Our main bet is both teams to score.
What is the correct score prediction for Chelsea vs Man United? 2-1 to Chelsea is our pick, reflecting the goals we expect at both ends.
What time does Chelsea vs Man United kick off? Saturday 31 October 2026 at 12:30 GMT (13:30 WAT), at Stamford Bridge in London.
Will both teams score? Yes is our pick at 1.55 on 1xBet. Chelsea have conceded a joint league-high ten second-half goals, and United have scored in every away league game since the opening day.
Who is injured for Chelsea vs Man United? Chelsea are without João Pedro and Maxence Lacroix is doubtful; United have doubts over Kobbie Mainoo, Luke Shaw and Marcus Rashford.
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