Our prediction: Under 0.5 first-half goals @ ~2.40. Celta Vigo are looking to end a run of three straight Europa League defeats, while Juventus arrive after a 5-0 win over NEC Nijmegen but with a stuttering domestic record. The Celta Vigo vs Juventus clash kicks off at the Abanca-Balaídos in Vigo on Thursday 15 October at 20:00 WAT (20:00 BST).
Prediction table
| Market | Our pick | Odds (1xBet) | Confidence |
| Match result | Juventus win | 2.16 | 44% |
| Both teams to score | No | ~1.85 | 52% |
| Total goals | Under 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 58% |
| Correct score | 0-1 | ~7.00 | 13% |
| Best value bet / Matchplug Pick | Under 0.5 first-half goals | ~2.40 | 44% |
Odds correct at time of writing, 14 October 2026.
Team news and form
Celta began the league phase with a 1-0 loss at Omonia Nicosia, their third successive Europa League defeat and their worst-ever losing run in major European competition. They responded with two clean sheets in La Liga, but a 0-0 draw with Elche leaves them with one win in nine competitive games this term (D5, L3). On the plus side, they have scored in seven consecutive Europa League home games since the start of last season (W4, D1, L2).
Juventus opened with a 5-0 thrashing of NEC Nijmegen, but that is a rare highlight: they have won only two of their last five competitive matches (D2, L1) and were held 1-1 at Cagliari after the break. Luciano Spalletti’s side have just one away win this season (D1, L1) and have struggled for goals, though their defence has kept four clean sheets in seven games in 2026/27.
Pablo Durán has scored six of his last nine goals after the hour mark, including both of his goals this season. Randal Kolo Muani scored against Cagliari and has netted five of his last seven goals after half-time, including his strike against NEC. Carl Starfelt and Miguel Román missed Celta’s game against Elche through injury, while Lloyd Kelly remains suspended for Juventus.
Head-to-head – Last meetings
- Celta Vigo 4-0 Juventus (1999/2000 UEFA Cup, fourth round, second leg)
- Juventus 1-0 Celta Vigo (1999/2000 UEFA Cup, fourth round, first leg)
This is only the third competitive meeting between the sides. Celta overturned the 1-0 first-leg deficit in 1999/2000 with a 4-0 home win.
Why we’re backing it
The first-half angle is the strongest one. Juventus have conceded just once in the opening hour of games this season, and six of Celta’s last seven matches finished under 2.5 goals. The goalscorers also point to late goals: Durán scores after the hour and Kolo Muani mostly after half-time, so a quiet opening 45 minutes fits both teams.
The risk is Celta’s home goals record, with both teams scoring in six of their last seven Europa League home games, and Juventus have scored in ten of their last 11 away matches. If you want less variance, Under 2.5 goals at 1.75 covers a game that opens up late.
Betting tips summary
- Safe pick: Juventus or draw (double chance) @ ~1.34
- Value pick: Under 0.5 first-half goals @ ~2.40 <- *our recommended bet*
- Long shot: Juventus to win 2-0 (correct score) @ ~10.00
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Juventus? Juventus are our pick, but it is a low-scoring game. They are unbeaten in eight of their last nine away games, and our model gives them a 44% win probability.
What is the correct score prediction for Celta Vigo vs Juventus? 0-1 is our most likely single scoreline at 13% probability.
What time does Celta Vigo vs Juventus kick off? Thursday 15 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT (20:00 BST), at the Abanca-Balaídos in Vigo.
Will there be a goal in the first half? We are backing no goal before half-time at 44% confidence. Juventus have conceded once in the opening hour of games this season, and six of Celta’s last seven matches finished under 2.5 goals.
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