Our prediction: AC Milan win @ 3.58. Bournemouth host seven-time European champions Milan on the biggest night in the club’s history, but the market has the Cherries as slight favourites despite Milan’s strong start under Ruben Amorim. Milan are unbeaten away from home this season and won 4-0 at Salzburg last week. The Bournemouth vs AC Milan clash kicks off at the Vitality Stadium in Bournemouth on Thursday 22 October at 20:00 WAT (20:00 BST).
Prediction table
| Market | Our pick | Odds (1xBet) | Confidence |
| Match result | AC Milan win | 3.58 | 27% |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 1.59 | 58% |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 54% |
| Correct score | 1-2 | 12.0 | 8.3% |
| Best value bet / Matchplug Pick | AC Milan win | 3.58 | 27% |
Odds correct at time of writing, 22 October 2026. Prices marked ~ come from other bookmakers or odds-comparison sites, used where a live 1xBet price was not published.
Team news and form
Bournemouth are finding form at the right moment. A 2-0 win over Sunderland was their first Premier League victory under Marco Rose (D3, L3), and a third straight win in all competitions would be their first such run since December 2024. It would also make them the first English side in more than 50 years to win their first three major European matches. They have lost only once at home since the start of 2026 (W6, D8), and their last four home wins all came with a clean sheet.
AC Milan have started well under Amorim (W5, D3, L1), and a 3-2 win over Atalanta on Sunday kept their Serie A record unbeaten. Their only defeat this season came on matchday one of the Europa League, 2-0 against Benfica, and they responded with a 4-0 win at Salzburg last week. Amorim is still looking for his first win as a manager against Bournemouth (D2, L1), and he arrives with an unbeaten personal away record in the Europa League group or league phase (W4, D2). Milan are also unbeaten on the road this season (W2, D3).
Bournemouth’s Brazilian winger Rayan can become only the eighth player to score in each of an English club’s first three major European matches, and both of his previous goals put the Cherries 2-0 up. Adrien Rabiot has been involved in four goals in Milan’s last three games (G2, A2), and each of his last nine goals came after the 40th minute. Alex Scott is still out for Bournemouth, while Matteo Gabbia and Alexis Saelemaekers are injured for Milan and Filippo Terracciano is suspended.
Head-to-head – Previous meetings
- This is the first competitive meeting between the clubs
- Bournemouth are the 12th different English club Milan have faced in Europe
- Milan have won just two of their last 22 trips to England in major European competition (D7, L13)
There is no history to go on, and Milan’s record in England is poor, so we lean on current form, where Amorim’s side are the stronger team.
Why we’re backing it
The price is the case. Milan are 3.58 to win on 1xBet while being unbeaten away from home this season and in strong form under Amorim, and Bournemouth have only just won their first Premier League game under Rose. Five of Milan’s last six away matches saw both teams score, and they scored four at Salzburg, so Bournemouth are unlikely to keep another clean sheet easily. For more picks in this market, see our 1X2 predictions.
The risk is Milan’s record in England and Bournemouth’s home form. They have won just two of 22 trips to England in major European competition, and Bournemouth have lost only once at home in 2026 (W6, D8), with eight draws among those. That draw lean is why AC Milan or draw at 1.69 (1xBet) is the safer route. See our draw predictions if you want the stalemate angle.
Betting tips summary
- Safe pick: AC Milan or draw (double chance) @ 1.69
- Value pick: AC Milan win @ 3.58 <- our recommended bet
- Long shot: AC Milan win & over 2.5 goals @ ~4.50
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Bournemouth vs AC Milan? It is tight, with the market slightly favouring Bournemouth. 1xBet’s prices of 2.07 for Bournemouth, 3.72 for the draw and 3.58 for Milan imply roughly 47%, 26% and 27% once the margin is removed. We back Milan for the value on the price, at 27%.
What is the correct score prediction for Bournemouth vs AC Milan? 1-2 is our pick. Milan should score on the road, and Bournemouth have scored at least once in each of their Europa League games so far. See our correct score tips for more.
What time does Bournemouth vs AC Milan kick off? Thursday 22 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT (20:00 BST), at the Vitality Stadium in Bournemouth.
Will both teams score in Bournemouth vs AC Milan? Yes is a strong market at 1.59 with 1xBet and 58% confidence. Five of Milan’s last six away matches saw both teams score, and Bournemouth are scoring freely at home.
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