Belgium must win to reach the quarter-finals, which should open the game up, and Italy have the quality to score against any side after their 3-1 win over France. The Belgium vs Italy Nations League clash is at the King Baudouin Stadium in Brussels on Sunday 15 November, with kick-off listed at 19:45 GMT (20:45 WAT).
Prediction table
| Market | Our pick | Odds (1xBet) | Confidence |
| Match result | Belgium win | 2.22 | 45% |
| Draw | Draw | 3.83 | 26% |
| Italy win | Italy | 3.14 | 32% |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 1.73 | 58% |
| Best value bet / Matchplug Pick | Both teams to score | 1.73 | 58% |
1xBet odds as listed by betting sites on 15 November 2026;
Team news and form
Belgium kept their qualification hopes alive by coming from behind to beat Turkey 2-1 on Thursday, but must win again to go through to the quarter-finals. They are third with nine points from five games, one point behind Italy, and have alternated wins and defeats across their last seven fixtures (four wins, three defeats). They have been more consistent at home, where their only defeat since November 2024 was 1-0 to France (six wins, one draw), with five clean sheets in their last seven competitive home games. Charles De Ketelaere has scored four goals in Belgium’s last seven games, including the winner against Turkey. Romelu Lukaku missed that win with a hip problem and may return. One site lists Thibaut Courtois, Amadou Onana and Zeno Debast as absent, so check the squad list.
Italy beat France 3-1 on Thursday after going behind, and lead the group with 10 points. They need only a draw to go through, and could qualify even with a defeat if Turkey beat France. They are unbeaten since losing 2-0 to Belgium in Rome on matchday one (three wins, one draw), and have not lost in regulation time in their last eight away games (six wins, two draws). Davide Frattesi has scored in two of his last four international appearances, and all nine of his goalscoring appearances for Italy ended in wins. Italy don’t appear to have new injury concerns.
Check the latest team news before kick-off.
Head-to-head – Recent meetings
- Italy 0-2 Belgium (25 September 2026, Nations League)
- Belgium 0-1 Italy (November 2024, Nations League)
- Italy 2-2 Belgium (October 2024, Nations League)
Belgium’s 2-0 win in Rome was their first win over Italy since November 2015. Italy have won three of the last four meetings in Belgium.
Why we’re backing it
Belgium must win, which should open the game up, and their defence has shown it can be beaten by teams with a strong attack. Italy have the quality to score against any side, as they showed against France, and they have conceded exactly once in each of their last four games, so Belgium’s route to a goal is clear. Our price for both teams to score is also supported by a public model that gives it 58%.
The risk is a tight, low-scoring game. Italy have won the 2024 meeting in Belgium 1-0, five of their last six away games had under 2.5 goals, and Belgium failed to score after half-time in four of their last six. Italy only need a draw, so they could play for a point. A draw at 3.83 is our value pick, and Flashscore also suggests it.
Betting tips summary
- Safe pick: Both teams to score @ 1.73 <- our recommended bet
- Value pick: Draw @ 3.83
- Long shot: Italy to win @ 3.14
Frequently asked questions
Will both teams score in Belgium vs Italy? Yes is our pick at 1.73 with 1xBet. Belgium must win, and Italy scored three against France.
Who will win Belgium vs Italy? It is close. Belgium are slight favourites at 2.22 with 1xBet, but Italy are unbeaten in four and need only a draw.
What is the correct score prediction for Belgium vs Italy? Belgium 1-1 Italy is our most likely single scoreline, with Belgium 2-1 Italy the main alternative.
What time does Belgium vs Italy kick off? Sunday 15 November 2026 at 19:45 GMT (20:45 WAT), at the King Baudouin Stadium in Brussels.