Barcelona are desperate to avoid three straight defeats for the first time in more than a decade, and 19 of their last 24 La Liga home wins produced over 2.5 goals. The Barcelona vs Alavés clash kicks off at Spotify Camp Nou on Saturday 31 October at 20:00 GMT (21:00 WAT).
Prediction table
| Market | Our pick | Odds | Confidence |
| Match result | Barcelona win | 1.07 | 90% |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 goals | 1.22 | 79% |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 1.92 | 52% |
| Correct score | 4-1 Barcelona | 12.00 | 8% |
| Best value bet / Matchplug Pick | Barcelona win & both teams to score – Yes | 2.25 | 44% |
Barcelona win and both teams to score – Yes prices are 1xBet odds as listed by Depor on 31 October 2026 (draw 10.00 and Alavés win 15.00 in a 1xBet snapshot on Redgol). The over 2.5 price (1.22) is from Betshoot, the 2.25 for Barcelona win and BTTS is from Betway via Goal.com, and the 4-1 price (11/1) is from Football Whispers, as I couldn’t find 1xBet prices for those. Confidence is the implied probability of each price, except the result and over 2.5 figures, which are the implied probabilities on Bet-Experts. Re-check all prices on 1xBet before publishing.
Team news and form
Barcelona’s 2-1 El Clásico defeat to Real Madrid cut their lead at the top of La Liga to two points after ten rounds. It was their second defeat in a row after a loss to PSG in Europe, but they have lost back-to-back league games only once under Hansi Flick. Before last weekend they had won 23 straight league games at home, and they have not lost two La Liga home games in a row since December 2024. Raphinha leads La Liga with 13 goals, and Barcelona have scored 40 league goals in ten games. The half-time result has been the full-time result in nine of their ten league games this season.
Alavés rescued a 1-1 draw against Málaga with a late equaliser, avoiding a third straight loss, but they are winless in six (D2, L4), their longest run since January 2025. That undid a four-game unbeaten start (W3, D1), and they are yet to win away this season (D2, L2). Quique Sánchez Flores has never won a La Liga away game against Barcelona (D2, L5). Alavés have not conceded in the first 30 minutes of any game this season, and they have scored exactly once in six of their last seven away league games.
Xavi Espart went off injured in Barcelona’s last game and Dani Olmo missed out altogether, while Alavés have no fresh injury problems. Raphinha has also been reported as a fitness doubt, so check the latest team news before kick-off.
Head-to-head – Recent meetings
- Alavés beat Barcelona 1-0 (May 2026, La Liga)
Barcelona had been on a 16-game unbeaten run in La Liga against Alavés (W14, D2) before that defeat. Alavés could win back-to-back league meetings for only the second time, but they have not won in their last eight at Barcelona in La Liga (D1, L7). Raphinha has never scored against Alavés but has three assists in his last three meetings, while Lucas Boyé has failed to score in his eight La Liga games against Barcelona.
Why we’re backing it
Barcelona’s home record is the foundation of this pick: they averaged 3.13 goals per home game in the 24 league matches before the Clásico, and 19 of their last 24 home wins produced over 2.5 goals. They are also under pressure to react after back-to-back losses, which points to a convincing performance rather than a narrow one.
The risks are that Alavés keep it tight and that Barcelona’s recent defensive lapses give the visitors one goal. Alavés have scored in each of their last three league games, which is why we also like Barcelona to win and both teams to score at 2.25 as the better-value price than the very short odds on a home win alone.
Betting tips summary
- Safe pick: Barcelona to win @ 1.07
- Value pick: Barcelona to win and both teams to score – Yes @ 2.25 <- our recommended bet
- Goals pick: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.22
- Long shot: 4-1 Barcelona correct score @ 12.00
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Barcelona vs Alavés? Barcelona are heavy favourites at Camp Nou after two defeats, and Alavés are still looking for a first away win. Our main angle is Barcelona to win with goals at both ends.
What is the correct score prediction for Barcelona vs Alavés? 4-1 to Barcelona is our pick, in line with the roughly four goals the market expects.
What time does Barcelona vs Alavés kick off? Saturday 31 October 2026 at 20:00 GMT (21:00 WAT), at Spotify Camp Nou in Barcelona.
Will there be over 2.5 goals? Yes is our pick at 1.22. Nineteen of Barcelona’s last 24 La Liga home wins had over 2.5 goals.
Who is injured for Barcelona vs Alavés? Barcelona are without Xavi Espart and Dani Olmo, with Raphinha a reported fitness doubt; Alavés have no fresh injury concerns.
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