Our prediction: Atalanta to win to nil @ 2.63. Parma are the lowest scorers in Serie A with just five goals all season, only two of them in four away games, and Atalanta kept a clean sheet in all five of their last five home wins against them. The Atalanta vs Parma clash kicks off at the New Balance Arena in Bergamo on Monday 2 November at 19:45 GMT (20:45 WAT).
Prediction table
| Market | Our pick | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Atalanta win | 1.55 | 61% |
| Win to nil | Atalanta to win to nil | 2.63 | 38% |
| Handicap | Atalanta -1.5 | 2.30 | 43% |
| Team total | Atalanta over 2.5 goals | 2.50 | 40% |
| Best value bet / Matchplug Pick | Atalanta to win to nil | 2.63 | 38% |
The Atalanta win (1.55) and -1.5 handicap (2.30) prices are 1xBet odds as listed by TelecomAsia on 2 November 2026; Atalanta over 2.5 goals (2.50) is from Betway, and the win to nil (13/8) is from bet365 via Squawka, as I couldn’t find 1xBet prices for those. Confidence: Squawka’s model for the match result, and the implied probability of each price for the rest. Re-check prices on 1xBet before publishing.
Team news and form
Atalanta have won just three of their nine Serie A games (D2, L4) and are in the bottom half, with defensive problems and injuries dragging them down. Thursday’s 2-2 draw at Fiorentina, in which they gave up a lead, highlighted those problems: they have not kept a league clean sheet since matchday two and were missing eight players in midweek. They have been better at home, losing only once in Serie A (W3, D1), but they have conceded eight goals in their last four home games in all competitions. They have scored a league-high four goals before the 15th minute this season, and none of their last six league games were goalless at half-time. Nicola Zalewski has a goal and two assists in his last three league games.
Parma are in the relegation zone with one win from nine (D2, L6), and have scored just once since Alberto Gilardino took over in late September (D1, L3). Wednesday’s 0-0 draw with Udinese, in which they missed a penalty, made this their worst nine-game start in the top flight since 2014/15, a season that ended in relegation. They have lost each of their last six away league games and have won only two of their last 14 Monday away games in Serie A (D3, L9). David Romero has scored two of Parma’s last four goals.
Atalanta’s Thomas Kristensen went off early against Fiorentina and Gianluca Gaetano also appeared to pick up a knock. Parma have no fresh injury worries. Check the latest team news before kick-off.
Head-to-head – Recent meetings
Atalanta have won eight of the last ten meetings at any venue (D1, L1) and five of the last six they hosted (L1), keeping a clean sheet in all five of those home wins. Atalanta have also scored two or more goals in five of their last six Serie A games against Parma.
Why we’re backing it
The win-to-nil pick comes from two numbers that do not fit together for Parma: they cannot score and they cannot win away. They have netted five times in nine games and have lost every away league game this season, and their only goal in their last four under Gilardino shows how little they are creating. Atalanta have also won to nil in five of their last six home wins in this fixture.
The risk is Atalanta’s own defence, which has not kept a clean sheet in the league since matchday two, and which could be even thinner with Kristensen and Gaetano doubts. That is why we also list the Atalanta win at 1.55 as the safer option and the -1.5 handicap at 2.30 as a step up from the straight win.
Betting tips summary
- Safe pick: Atalanta to win @ 1.55
- Value pick: Atalanta to win to nil @ 2.63 <- our recommended bet
- Handicap pick: Atalanta -1.5 @ 2.30
- Long shot: Atalanta over 2.5 team goals @ 2.50
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Atalanta vs Parma? Atalanta are our pick. They are at home, their opponents are in the bottom three and have lost all of their away league games, and Squawka’s model gives them a 61% chance of winning.
What is the correct score prediction for Atalanta vs Parma? 2-0 to Atalanta is our pick, which matches our win-to-nil bet.
What time does Atalanta vs Parma kick off? Monday 2 November 2026 at 19:45 GMT (20:45 WAT), at the New Balance Arena in Bergamo.
Will Atalanta win to nil? Yes is our pick at 2.63. Parma have scored only five goals all season, and Atalanta kept a clean sheet in all five of their last five home wins against them.
Who is injured for Atalanta vs Parma? Atalanta are waiting on Thomas Kristensen and Gianluca Gaetano after they were hurt against Fiorentina; Parma have no fresh injury worries.
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