Our prediction: Pacers +7.5 @ -110, and Under 224.5 @ -110. Indiana travel to the Xfinity Mobile Arena on Sunday 15 November, 1 p.m. ET (19:00 WAT), and the market is asking Philadelphia to cover a number they have beaten only once in four tries as a favourite of 7.5 or more this season.
The card
| Market | Our pick | Line | Confidence |
| Spread | Pacers +7.5 | -110 | 52% |
| Moneyline | 76ers | -290 | 74% |
| Total | Under 224.5 | -110 | 52% |
| Best bet | Pacers +7.5 | -110 | — |
Lines as listed by betting sites on 15 November 2026 and they moved from 6.5 to 7.5 during the week
Team news
Philadelphia (10-3) are second in the East and have won seven of their last 10, averaging 109.8 points, with a 3-2 record and 108.2 points per game at home in that span. They beat the Toronto Raptors 123-112 in their latest game. Tyrese Maxey is second in the East in scoring at 26.7 points per game and Jaylen Brown is second on the team at 21.2. Joel Embiid has one triple-double this season, but at least one site reports the 76ers are without him, so confirm his status before tip-off. LeBron James and Dominick Barlow are listed with back injuries, Ariel Hukporti with an Achilles injury and Adem Bona with an injury.
Indiana (5-8) are 10th in the East, and have lost seven of their last 10, but they beat the New York Knicks 106-104 on Friday after trailing and are 1-3 on the road in that span despite averaging 114.0 points. Pascal Siakam leads them at 22.4 points and 6.6 rebounds a game, and Andrew Nembhard is second at 16.6 points, shooting 40.3% from three. Ivica Zubac has four double-doubles. Tyrese Haliburton is out with a hamstring injury, and Ben Sheppard and Johnny Furphy have knee injuries.
Head-to-head
The 76ers lead this season’s series 1-0 after a 114-109 win in Indiana on 28 October, a game in which Siakam scored 26. Philadelphia also won last season’s series 4-0. The last five regular-season games averaged 221.6 combined points, with Philadelphia winning by an average of 11.2.
Why we’re on Indiana
Seven and a half points is a lot for a team that scores 111.2 points per game and allows 109.4, almost the same as Indiana, who score 111.2 and allow 113.2. Philadelphia are 7-6 against the spread this season, and 1-3 when favoured by 7.5 points or more. The Pacers are 8-5 against the spread and 3-2 as underdogs of 7.5 or more. Philadelphia also make only 11.6 threes a game, fifth worst in the league, which limits how quickly they can build a big lead.
The under is a similar read. Philadelphia’s games this season have averaged 4.2 points fewer than this total, and the 76ers rank in the top ten for defence. Indiana have held their previous two opponents under 105, and Indiana rank in the bottom third for offensive efficiency without Haliburton. The risk is that Philadelphia have beaten Indiana by double digits in recent games, and the line has been pushed up by public money, so a comfortable home win is possible.
Best bets summary
- Safe: Pacers +7.5 @ -110 <- our recommended bet
- Value: Under 224.5 @ -110
- Long shot: Pacers moneyline @ +230
FAQ
Who is favoured in 76ers vs Pacers? Philadelphia are 7.5-point home favourites and -290 on the moneyline, but our numbers make it closer, and we are taking the points with Indiana.
What is the over/under for 76ers vs Pacers? The total is 224.5. Public models project between 216 and 223 combined points, and we recommend the under.
What time is 76ers vs Pacers? Sunday 15 November, 1 p.m. ET (19:00 WAT) at the Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia.
Is Tyrese Haliburton playing for the Pacers? No. He is out with a hamstring injury.